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Darren R. Clabo

State Fire Meteorologist, South Dakota

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Current Conditions at SDSM&T


Daily Weather Discussion (updated 06/21/2016 09:14)  (click your refresh button to ensure most recent forecast)

This morning's upper air map shows broad ridging over the central CONUS leading to very warm temperatures at the mid-levels of the atmosphere over our region. At the surface, high pressure has settled over the MN/IA border and this is leading to southeasterly winds across the SD. Temperatures are currently in the 60s and 70s under mostly clear skies.

High temperatures today will be warmer than yesterday with readings from the mid 80s over eastern SD to the mid 90s over western SD. Even a couple of 100 degree readings are possible on the prairies adjacent to the southern/eastern Black Hills. Winds today will be out of the southeast over most of the state. However, a dryline will push into far western SD leading to westerly or southwesterly winds there. Minimum RHs will range from 30-50% over most of the state except for far western SD where RHs will be MUCH lower behind dryline: values from 10-20% can be expected there. Skies will remain sunny through most of the day but a few cumulus or even a thunderstorm or two can be expected this afternoon over western parts of the state. This is in response to a cold front that will push through the state overnight. And speaking of the cold front, winds will be from 20-45 mph out of the northwest behind the cold front. Breezy and problematic if fires do occur.

Breezy northwest winds from 15-30 mph are expected statewide tomorrow as high pressure moves into the region. This post-frontal airmass will be quite dry and minimum RHs from 18-30% can be expected West River and from 30-40% East River. Highs will be cooler with readings in the lower 80s north and upper 80s south. Skies again will be mostly clear.

Critical Fire Weather

We'll be getting close to critical fire weather conditions on the week of June 20. Namely, Tuesday, Wednesday, Saturday, and Sunday.

Weekly Weather Update (published every Monday)


2016 SD Fire Potential Outlook: Printable Flyer

Downloadable versions (7 June 2016 version):







Briefing Center

Fire Weather Portal

Drought Portal

Fire Danger Portal Experimental South Dakota Grassland Fire Danger Map

NFDRS Forecast Image


6-10 Day

One Month

Three Month



Darren Clabo, SD State Fire Meteorologist:

Dennis Todey, SD State Climatologist:

Jim Strain, SD Assistant Fire Chief:



Darren R. Clabo * State Fire Meteorologist/Instructor * Institute of Atmospheric Sciences

South Dakota School of Mines & Technology * 501 East Saint Joseph Street * Rapid City, SD 57701 * (O) 605-394-1996 * (C) 605-381-9253 *