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Darren R. Clabo

State Fire Meteorologist, South Dakota

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Current Conditions at SDSM&T

 

Daily Weather Discussion (updated 08/25/2016 10:11)  (click your refresh button to ensure most recent forecast)

 
Today's upper level analysis shows a positively tilted shortwave trough over the western US with strong southwesterly flow over SD. At the surface, winds are out of the northwest and temperatures are in the 50s and 60s. There are a few showers over southwestern SD with scattered cloudiness elsewhere.

Those ongoing showers will diminish over the next few hours but more showers and possibly even a few weak thunderstorms are expected to develop later this afternoon. The rain won't be widespread but there are chances for it statewide. Temperatures today will remain on the cooler side with highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s with 50s/60s across the Black Hills. Minimum RHs will stay above critical thresholds. High pressure will then cross the state tonight leading to light and variable winds. A few showers are possible overnight as well.

Much more widespread rain is expected tomorrow as another shortwave trough crosses the area. Showers and thunderstorms are expected with a few stronger storms possible over western SD. High temperatures will again be in the upper 60s to mid 70s. With the high pressure system moving off to the east, the wind will shift to the southeast from 5-10 mph. Minimum RHs will be above 40%.

Critical Fire Weather

Extreme fire danger and Red Flag Warnings on in place on the 22nd with enhanced fire danger in the post-frontal conditions on the 23rd. Fire danger should moderate from the 24th - 28th.

Weekly Weather Update (published every Monday)

 

2016 SD Fire Potential Outlook: Printable Flyer

Downloadable versions (7 June 2016 version):

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Briefing Center

Fire Weather Portal

Drought Portal

Fire Danger Portal

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/jpg/current/current_sd_trd.jpg Experimental South Dakota Grassland Fire Danger Map

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/unr/firewx/fire_weather_zone_map_large.jpg

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdohomeweb.png

NFDRS Forecast Image

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Outlooks

6-10 Day

One Month

Three Month

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Contact:

Darren Clabo, SD State Fire Meteorologist: darren.clabo@sdsmt.edu

Dennis Todey, SD State Climatologist: dennis.todey@sdstate.edu

Jim Strain, SD Assistant Fire Chief: jim.strain@state.sd.us

 

 

Darren R. Clabo * State Fire Meteorologist/Instructor * Institute of Atmospheric Sciences

South Dakota School of Mines & Technology * 501 East Saint Joseph Street * Rapid City, SD 57701

darren.clabo@sdsmt.edu * (O) 605-394-1996 * (C) 605-381-9253 *