Darren R. Clabo

State Fire Meteorologist, South Dakota

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Current Conditions at SDSM&T

 

Daily Weather Discussion (updated 11/20/2017 09:37)  (click your refresh button to ensure most recent forecast)

Zonal upper level flow is seen above SD this morning but plenty of warm air is still found aloft over the region. This alludes to the warm temperatures we are expecting today. The current surface map shows a weak pressure trough/warm front stretch from north to south through the center of the state. East of this boundary, temperatures are in the 20s and 30s with southerly winds while west of the boundary temperatures are in the 30s and 40s with westerly winds. There is plenty of mid-level moisture streaming into the state and we are seeing that moisture in the way of ample altostratus over the area.

Warm temperatures are expected today with highs in the 50s and 60s, warmest over the western SD prairies. This will allow minimum RHs to drop into the 16-25% range over western SD and to 25-35% over eastern SD. South to southwesterly winds this morning will turn to nearly all westerly by this afternoon. Winds speeds from 5-15 mph will be common but gusts to near 25 mph are likely over the western third of the state. Skies will remain partly cloudy. The combination of low RHs, warm temperatures, and breezy conditions will keep the fire danger in the high to very high categories over central and western SD today.

A cold front will swing through the state overnight tonight leading to cooler temperatures tomorrow. Highs will be in the 20s to mid-30s over central and eastern SD while western SD warm into the upper 30s. Northwest winds from 10-20 mph and gusts to 30 mph will keep things chilly throughout the day. Minimum RHs will stay above 35% statewide under mostly clear skies.

Critical Fire Weather

No critical fire weather is expected.

Weekly Weather Update (published every Monday)

November 2017 Fire Potential Outlook

2017 Fire Potential Outlook Webcast Now Available

7 April 2017:   HTML        MP4

 

 

 

 

Briefing Center

Fire Weather Portal

Drought Portal

Fire Danger Portal

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/jpg/current/current_sd_trd.jpg Experimental South Dakota Grassland Fire Danger Map

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/unr/firewx/fire_weather_zone_map_large.jpg

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdohomeweb.png

NFDRS Forecast Image

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/day1fireotlk-overview.png http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/soilmst/img/curr.w.anom.daily.gif http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png

Outlooks

6-10 Day

One Month

Three Month

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Contact:

Darren Clabo, SD State Fire Meteorologist: darren.clabo@sdsmt.edu

Laura Edwards, SD State Climatologist: laura.edwards@sdstate.edu

Jim Strain, SD Assistant Fire Chief: jim.strain@state.sd.us

 

 

Darren R. Clabo * State Fire Meteorologist/Instructor * Institute of Atmospheric Sciences

South Dakota School of Mines & Technology * 501 East Saint Joseph Street * Rapid City, SD 57701

darren.clabo@sdsmt.edu * (O) 605-394-1996 * (C) 605-381-9253 *